An ex-colonel from the special forces, government minister Al Carns has recently been making strategic moves cautioning that the UK needs to be preparing for war with Russia.
âThe shadow of war is knocking on Europeâs door once more. Thatâs the reality. Weâve got to be prepared to deter it,â he said, in comments that exceed previous warnings by his boss, the defence secretary.
âCollectively, everybody â what is their role if we get caught in an fight for survival, and what do they need to be aware they need to do and what they canât do, and how do we mobilise the nation to support a armed campaign?â
It was blunt language from the 45-year-old born in Scotland MP, who has had an exceptionally swift rise to his role of armed forces minister.
And inevitably for a politician with a history of service in the armed forces, there is conjecture about whether he is future leadership material â as with, at various points, other military figures before him.
This time, however, some governing party MPs think there could be a real prospect of Carns being a candidate if and when the opportunity presents itself.
One of the reasons for that is that Carns has been involved in politics for longer than it seems, as a former military adviser to multiple previous defence secretaries.
But there is also the danger of being over-promoted as a politician with a backstory colleagues think will appeal to the public â without enough thought of whether they have the track record and shrewdness to make it to the top.
Carns was born in Aberdeen, and state educated, before enlisting in the Royal Marines in 1999 at the age of 19. He rose through the ranks and was awarded the Military Cross in 2011 âin recognition of gallant and distinguished services in Afghanistanâ.
It came as a surprise when he left the armed forces after 24 years of service to run as an MP in Birmingham Selly Oak, just prior to he was due to be promoted to brigadier.
And in a sign he was immediately earmarked as a talent, the prime minister appointed him as a minister for veterans affairs straight after the 2024 election. He was elevated later that year to the more prominent position with a portfolio covering all the military.
Chiselled and confident, Carns has been an occasional media performer for the government, and has been an sharp partisan operator when putting pressure on rival parties over issues of national security.
He has also found time to break a world record this year along with former military colleagues by climbing Mount Everest in under five days without acclimating on the mountain, using xenon gas.
His name entered the conversation as a possible future leader in earnest around the time of a leadership election last autumn, when his supporters began sounding out MPs about a run for the job. That failed to get off the ground, with the prime minister's office strongly supporting another candidate.
Since then, feature articles of Carns have begun to appear in the media, with one newspaper presenting him as the âAction Manâ that some were trying to stop from challenging the prime minister.
While some MPs think he could be prime ministerial timber, others think he is making himself appear too ambitious when there is no opening at the top. There is also a wariness about the rapid rise of a high flyer from outside politics.
âIt's not proven that being senior in the military equates to being any good at politics any more than being a top prosecutor,â notes one MP. âHe is an unknown quantity.â
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