While numerous supporters in the UK focus on club season-opening performances or debate forthcoming fall test matches, the contest for 2027 Rugby World Cup qualification continues at full pace.
Chile secured their second consecutive spot at the competition with a stunning playoff victory against Samoa last month, leaving only a single place left to be claimed for Australia in two years. Meanwhile, the Paraguayan side stunned Brazil by twenty points in the opening match of their qualifying series.
The return match is scheduled on Saturday in JacareÃ, near São Paulo, while Brazil's squad attempts to follow their women's achievement and secure qualification for the first time.
Whether Paraguay completes a shock overall win, or Brazil recovers following head coach Emiliano Caffera's departure, the lineup for next month's Dubai qualification tournament will be confirmed. The Namibian team, the Belgian squad, and Samoa are already confirmed their places for the Dubai-based showdown from November 8th to 18th.
Several other nations have also secured their spots. The Hong Kong China team sealed maiden qualification following beating Korea 70-22 in July, while the Zimbabwean squad will return to the sport's premier tournament for the first occasion since 1991 by virtue of claiming victory in the Rugby Africa Cup.
The knock-on effect of Chile's playoff success means that Los Condores will play against Italy for the first occasion in November during the autumn internationals, taking the place of Samoa who are obligated to participate in the Dubai tournament.
World Rugby's chief executive called Chile an "exciting and fast-emerging power" in announcing the upcoming fixture in the Italian city. As domestic rugby markets aim for larger crowds, rugby in Chile is thriving. A sell-out audience of more than twenty thousand witnessed the playoff victory in Viña del Mar, and head coach the national coach has led the team on an improving path since his appointment in 2018.
The 50-year-old ex- Uruguay international prop has been influencing the game for decades: signed by Bristol in the 1990s, he famously broke through the English defensive line to score at the 2003 Rugby World Cup.
His impact as head coach has been equally powerful: Chile have risen to seventeenth place, their best ranking. At the last tournament in Europe, they were beaten four times, conceding 215 points and registering 27, featuring a 71-0 defeat to England.
Nevertheless, they proudly took the positives, and after the tournament draw in Australia on December 3rd, Lemoine can start preparations in earnest. They faced the Scottish team last year, defeated 52-11 in front of twenty-four thousand fans, and although they were defeated across two legs by the Uruguayan side in the initial qualifying round, they achieved a narrow away victory in Montevideo.
Samoa, in contrast, have participated in all Rugby World Cup for decades, but are currently sitting in sixteenth place in the men's rankings. They were winless in this year's regional tournament, leading to qualifying disappointment against Chile, and the requirement to face teams like Belgium adds additional difficulty for the rugby-loving country.
Beyond individual nations' fortunes, it is worth noting how different the larger tournament will look in the next edition. For the first time, there will be a knockout stage with six groups of four teams rather than four pools of five teams. Group phase jeopardy is significantly reduced because the four best third-place sides will also qualify.
The hosts, Australia, are currently ranked seventh in the world, meaning they would fall short on top seeding and might face one of South Africa, New Zealand, the Irish, France, the English, or the Pumas in Pool A. They could climb into the highest seeds during a packed autumn schedule, though: England, Italy, Ireland, and France are their opponents, with a match against Japan in Tokyo additionally planned for October 25th.
The Welsh team, on the other hand, are teetering in 12th, with the Japanese side behind, and the consequences of dropping to 13th and into pot three are potentially significant.
Another new dimension for the next World Cup is the presence of five nations from the Americas: the Argentine team, Uruguay, USA, Canada, and Chile – with Paraguay or Brazil potentially becoming the sixth. From World Rugby's viewpoint, American interest is positive, particularly with the 2031 World Cup scheduled to be staged by the United States, and the host selection for the 2035 edition was launched recently.
First things first, though. The return match of Brazil v Paraguay sets up a four-way Dubai shootout, along with a possible rankings shake-up throughout the European nations in the coming month. No matter the outcome, Chile's qualification for a second consecutive World Cup has undoubtedly established them as a clear success story.
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