No professional sports organization markets equal footing like the NFL: it’s the entire brand. Yet following the first ten matchups of this season, this is not a competition featuring uniform distribution separating contenders, pretenders, and middle-of-the-pack clubs. Instead, it's a scenario where the majority of teams appear to be adequate.
Within the National Football Conference, at least, we see clearer definition. The Rams along with the Seahawks (each holding 7-2 records) look like the most complete teams in football, and achieved overwhelming triumphs on Sunday. Philadelphia at 6-2 even with their challenges maintain among the most gifted lineups across the NFL, comparable to the Packers (5-2-1 record). The Lions also (six and three), with their fluctuating form along both lines of scrimmage and have been dealing with tension on their coaching staff, have shown they can defeat quality opponents. Regarding these five teams, one can readily envision a Super Bowl path.
Over in the AFC, postseason landscape is a jumbled mess. The four teams leading their divisions through ten weeks: Indianapolis, New England, Denver (each with 8-2 records) and Steelers (5-4 record). Read that again. Kansas City isn't there. Not the Bills. Not the Ravens or Bengals. The usual contenders, supported by the league’s best quarterbacks, have either obvious team deficiencies or have suffered medical setbacks.
To some extent, this represents the NFL's perfect scenario. Yet observing this season's top AFC teams in the American Football Conference remains somewhat odd. Aspects of each franchise meet championship standards, but not in their entirety. If you were asked to lock in your conference championship predictions today, would you confidently choose any among these four teams?
Beginning with the Colts, their quarterback hasn't yet achieved complete disaster level. Yet the past two games have raised concerns. He has returned to committing turnovers and failing against blitzes. He was sacked seven times facing Atlanta in the weekend game, and had a brief period during which he tossed a pick and lost three fumbles. This comes after he gave away possessions on five occasions versus Pittsburgh.
The Colts’ offense excelled during early games since Jones evaded catastrophic mistakes. Jonathan Taylor and the offensive line mean the Colts are able to withstand periodic mistakes, as demonstrated overseas. Yet Jones going back to his historically mistake-heavy play would end any playoff run.
The Patriots feel relatively comparable. Previously, they were league laughingstocks. Now, they’re the NFL's most pleasant shock and the hottest team in the NFL following seven consecutive victories. If not for committing turnover errors a manageable matchup facing Pittsburgh, they’d be sitting a 9-1 record with the top standing. Last season, they appeared aged and sluggish. Now they’re youthful, quick and confident. Still, it’s hard to ignore the ease of the Patriots' matchups. They've encountered the least challenging lineup across the NFL, yet vulnerabilities remain. Their quarterback has taken sacks on 35 occasions – the second-most in football – and some of the shots he absorbed on Sunday appeared dangerous. With continued play, that punishment compounds.
The Broncos hold 8–2 as well, and the perception remains that they're barely surviving. The Denver signal-caller has shown inconsistency, and the offensive unit laboring, with the defense doing all the heavy lifting. Lacking competent QB performance, the Broncos aren’t scaring anyone in the postseason. The Chargers are also hovering in the AFC West with seven wins, but the injuries affecting their protection unit will make it tough for extended playoff success.
And then there’s Pittsburgh, somehow still leading the Northern division despite being thumped a 25-10 defeat from the Chargers on Sunday night. Their scoring margin remains negative, their defense regularly vanishes, and Aaron Rodgers’ limitations during his career phase regularly manifest. They’re 5–4 and holding on, yet Baltimore, with their QB returning to health with manageable games ahead, are riding a three-game streak. This development isn't entirely shocking that the Ravens have pulled to within one game of Pittsburgh, but how rapidly this occurred represents criticism toward Pittsburgh’s inconsistencies. The fact Baltimore began with a 1-5 record yet still appear they should win the division is telling about the complete conference.
The Ravens represent a segment among three elite teams – joined by Buffalo and Kansas City – driven by elite quarterback play, who could still create the greatest concern in opposing teams should they reach postseason. They represent undesirable playoff matchups, but the Chiefs and Bills cannot get out of their own way.
A week ago, the Bills felt confident following victory over Kansas City. During Sunday's action they experienced a particularly discouraging setback this year. They didn’t just lose versus the Dolphins; they looked terrible, dropping a 30-13 road game. This represented Miami's initial victory versus Buffalo in several seasons.
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